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She withdrew her nomination at the eleventh hour. Here’s why.

Plus: Kernaghan’s up in London North Centre, Chehab’s out in Windsor, partisan woes, inside Schreiner’s plan, “send ‘em right to sparky,” a presser without the press, campaign trail cookies, a teen takeover and more
Ahmad Elbayoumi
February 14, 2025

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to Martin by a narrow 524 votes.

This time around, it’s a top target seat inside the blue war room. Vince Gasparro, former principal secretary to then-mayor John Tory, is the Liberal candidate, up against Michelle Cooper, the executive director of the Progressive Conservative fund. Leah Tysoe is the Green candidate.

Natasha Doyle-Merrick was set to carry the NDP banner. Just ahead of the nomination deadline, she bowed out — a strategic retreat, she says, aimed at consolidating the progressive vote in a riding with slim margins.

“I recognize the race in Eglinton-Lawrence is a clear two-party contest between Liberals and Conservatives,” she said in a statement posted to X. “To prevent a Conservative win and more years of neglect, I’m stepping aside to avoid a vote split.”

In an exclusive interview, Doyle-Merrick explained why, while sources walked us through what went down behind the scenes.

Here’s what happened:

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to Martin by a narrow 524 votes.

This time around, it’s a top target seat inside the blue war room. Vince Gasparro, former principal secretary to then-mayor John Tory, is the Liberal candidate, up against Michelle Cooper, the executive director of the Progressive Conservative fund. Leah Tysoe is the Green candidate.

Natasha Doyle-Merrick was set to carry the NDP banner. Just ahead of the nomination deadline, she bowed out — a strategic retreat, she says, aimed at consolidating the progressive vote in a riding with slim margins.

“I recognize the race in Eglinton-Lawrence is a clear two-party contest between Liberals and Conservatives,” she said in a statement posted to X. “To prevent a Conservative win and more years of neglect, I’m stepping aside to avoid a vote split.”

In an exclusive interview, Doyle-Merrick explained why, while sources walked us through what went down behind the scenes.

Here’s what happened:

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to…

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to…

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to…

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to…

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to…

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to…

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to…

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to…

THE LEDE

At the eleventh hour, a would-be NDP and Liberal candidate in two key ridings pulled their candidacies. In one candidate’s case, it was a calculated move to avoid a vote split.

With no incumbent in the race and a star Liberal candidate on the ballot, Eglinton-Lawrence is anyone’s game — and it’s essential to any party’s electoral math. In 2018, the Tories snagged the once-Liberal bastion, with Robin Martin beating Mike Colle by 957 votes. In 2022, the margin shrank — Arlena Hebert lost to…